BH, Kodiak, others.. Why MSU?

BigPete · Sep 24, 2003

I know 6.5 points seems like a trap, but stats wise, it looks like a good play on Iowa.

How is this MSU different than the one that lost to La Tech at home and looked rotten last week?

Im not a John Smith fan either, he seems to give no discipline to his teams,as Louisville was horrible with penalties last year.

NASDAQ · Sep 24, 2003

Remember last week when Iowa got no love and everyone and their mom was hyping up Arizona State? Well Iowa absolutely controlled that game and broke a lot of hearts. Vegas is hoping those people now jump on the Iowa train in this game, especially with the 6.5 line.

Michigan State is coming off a win vs a team losing respect from everyone (Notre Dame) which is not really being considered a "big win."

I liked MSU the second it opened and was lucky enough to grab +7.5. It will be a great game. Good luck with whatever you pick. You take Iowa and they win by 7 and we are both cash.

BigPete · Sep 24, 2003

the average of power ratings(performanZ) have this at Iowa -13. With the highest at -22 lowest at -4.

This is one reason why I question the MSU value and push for Iowa and dont see a trap. Maybe they think the ND win means a lot more than the ASU win. Cant see why. Puzzling line to me.

NASDAQ · Sep 24, 2003

OK, never really cared for power ratings unless they were my own, but you have your own methods and I hope you all the luck with them.

NASDAQ · Sep 24, 2003

By the way, line is bumping up to 7 at some places again.

BigPete · Sep 24, 2003

This was very profitable last year, I use it as a check system, as the averages are usually very close to the vegas line and when the average varies close to a TD, it gets my attention especially when none favor the other team.

Last weeks money was Houston.

This weeks look like Iowa and Utah.

winkyduck · Sep 24, 2003

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by BigPete: How is this MSU different than the one that lost to La Tech at home and looked rotten last week?<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

easy. if smoker doesn't have to leave that game - msu runs tech out of the building. tech got 2 late tds to win it - and that never happens with smoker in the game. iowa played a PERFECT game last week. i LOVE betting AGAINST teams who played perfect games the past week - for they rarely do it 2 weeks in a row. the next week is usually a stinker. not sure if i will be on MSU +7 or on the M/L but when the ball is kicked off - i will have a MSU ticket in my possession.

BigPete · Sep 25, 2003

Backing off Iowa, run defense by both looks very good, with MSU having a slight edge.

One thing also sticks out is a look ahead for Iowa to Michigan next week at the Big House.

I do like the under on this (52). Any thoughts.